This course introduces the Bayesian approach to statistics, starting with the concept of probability and moving to the analysis of data. We will learn about the philosophy of the Bayesian approach as well as how to implement it for common types of data. We will compare the Bayesian approach to the more commonly-taught Frequentist approach, and see some of the benefits of the Bayesian approach. In particular, the Bayesian approach allows for better accounting of uncertainty, results that have more intuitive and interpretable meaning, and more explicit statements of assumptions. This course combines lecture videos, computer demonstrations, readings, exercises, and discussion boards to create an active learning experience. For computing, you have the choice of using Microsoft Excel or the open-source, freely available statistical package R, with equivalent content for both options. The lectures provide some of the basic mathematical development as well as explanations of philosophy and interpretation. Completion of this course will give you an understanding of the concepts of the Bayesian approach, understanding the key differences between Bayesian and Frequentist approaches, and the ability to do basic data analyses.
oferecido por
Bayesian Statistics: From Concept to Data Analysis
Universidade da Califórnia, Santa CruzInformações sobre o curso
Resultados de carreira do aprendiz
21%
15%
Habilidades que você terá
Resultados de carreira do aprendiz
21%
15%
oferecido por
Universidade da Califórnia, Santa Cruz
UC Santa Cruz is an outstanding public research university with a deep commitment to undergraduate education. It’s a place that connects people and programs in unexpected ways while providing unparalleled opportunities for students to learn through hands-on experience.
Programa - O que você aprenderá com este curso
Probability and Bayes' Theorem
In this module, we review the basics of probability and Bayes’ theorem. In Lesson 1, we introduce the different paradigms or definitions of probability and discuss why probability provides a coherent framework for dealing with uncertainty. In Lesson 2, we review the rules of conditional probability and introduce Bayes’ theorem. Lesson 3 reviews common probability distributions for discrete and continuous random variables.
Statistical Inference
This module introduces concepts of statistical inference from both frequentist and Bayesian perspectives. Lesson 4 takes the frequentist view, demonstrating maximum likelihood estimation and confidence intervals for binomial data. Lesson 5 introduces the fundamentals of Bayesian inference. Beginning with a binomial likelihood and prior probabilities for simple hypotheses, you will learn how to use Bayes’ theorem to update the prior with data to obtain posterior probabilities. This framework is extended with the continuous version of Bayes theorem to estimate continuous model parameters, and calculate posterior probabilities and credible intervals.
Priors and Models for Discrete Data
In this module, you will learn methods for selecting prior distributions and building models for discrete data. Lesson 6 introduces prior selection and predictive distributions as a means of evaluating priors. Lesson 7 demonstrates Bayesian analysis of Bernoulli data and introduces the computationally convenient concept of conjugate priors. Lesson 8 builds a conjugate model for Poisson data and discusses strategies for selection of prior hyperparameters.
Models for Continuous Data
This module covers conjugate and objective Bayesian analysis for continuous data. Lesson 9 presents the conjugate model for exponentially distributed data. Lesson 10 discusses models for normally distributed data, which play a central role in statistics. In Lesson 11, we return to prior selection and discuss ‘objective’ or ‘non-informative’ priors. Lesson 12 presents Bayesian linear regression with non-informative priors, which yield results comparable to those of classical regression.
Avaliações
Principais avaliações do BAYESIAN STATISTICS: FROM CONCEPT TO DATA ANALYSIS
Good intro to Bayesian Statistics. Covers the basic concepts. Workload is reasonable and quizzes/exercises are helpful. Could include more exercises and additional backgroung/future reading materials.
Great course. The content moves at a nice pace and the videos are really good to follow. The Quizzes are also set at a good level. You can't pass this course unless you have understood the material.
the notes for the lectures are missing. In my opinion the notes, which includes the video materials could be very useful.\n\nthe course was good. I learnt some new concepts in bayesian thinking.
This was an invaluable learning experience. I was delighted to go through this learning. I strongly suggest this course to anyone who wants to learn or refresh their statistics knowledge.
Perguntas Frequentes – FAQ
Quando terei acesso às palestras e às tarefas?
O acesso a palestras e tarefas depende do tipo de inscrição. Se você participar de um curso como ouvinte, você poderá ver quase todo o conteúdo do curso gratuitamente. Para acessar tarefas valendo nota e obter um Certificado, você precisará adquirir a experiência do Certificado, durante ou após a participação como ouvinte. Se você não vir a opção de participar como ouvinte:
- o curso pode não oferecer essa opção. Você pode experimentar um teste gratuito ou solicitar o auxílio financeiro.
- Em vez disso, o curso pode oferecer 'Curso completo, sem Certificado'. Com esta opção, é possível ver todo o conteúdo do curso, enviar as avaliações necessárias e obter uma nota final. Isso também significa que você não poderá comprar uma experiência de Certificado.
O que recebo ao adquirir o Certificado?
Quando você adquire o Certificado, ganha acesso a todo o material do curso, incluindo avaliações com nota atribuída. Após concluir o curso, seu Certificado eletrônico será adicionado à sua página de Participações e você poderá imprimi-lo ou adicioná-lo ao seu perfil no LinkedIn. Se quiser apenas ler e assistir o conteúdo do curso, você poderá frequentá-lo como ouvinte sem custo.
Is financial aid available?
Sim, a Coursera oferece auxílio financeiro aos alunos que não podem pagar a taxa. Faça a solicitação clicando no link Auxílio financeiro, abaixo do botão "Inscreva-se" à esquerda. Você será solicitado a preencher um formulário e será notificado se for aprovado. Saiba mais.
What are the pre-requisites for this course?
You should have exposure to the concepts from a basic statistics class (for example, probability, the Central Limit Theorem, confidence intervals, linear regression) and calculus (integration and differentiation), but it is not expected that you remember how to do all of these items. The course will provide some overview of the statistical concepts, which should be enough to remind you of the necessary details if you've at least seen the concepts previously. On the calculus side, the lectures will include some use of calculus, so it is important that you understand the concept of an integral as finding the area under a curve, or differentiating to find a maximum, but you will not be required to do any integration or differentiation yourself.
What computing resources are expected for this course?
Data analysis is done using computer software. This course provides the option of Excel or R. Equivalent content is provided for both options. A very brief introduction to R is provided for people who have never used it before, but this is not meant to be a course on R. Learners using Excel are expected to already have basic familiarity of Excel.
Ganharei créditos universitários por concluir o curso?
Este curso não oferece créditos universitários, mas algumas universidades podem aceitar certificados de cursos que podem ser convertidos em créditos. Entre em contato com sua instituição para saber mais. Com os cursos on-line e os certificados Mastertrack™ do Coursera, é possível ganhar créditos universitários.
Mais dúvidas? Visite o Central de Ajuda ao Aprendiz.
