Most professions these days require more than general intelligence. They require in addition the ability to collect, analyze and think about data. Personal life is enriched when these same skills are applied to problems in everyday life involving judgment and choice. This course presents basic concepts from statistics, probability, scientific methodology, cognitive psychology and cost-benefit theory and shows how they can be applied to everything from picking one product over another to critiquing media accounts of scientific research. Concepts are defined briefly and breezily and then applied to many examples drawn from business, the media and everyday life.
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Mindware: Critical Thinking for the Information Age
Universidade de MichiganInformações sobre o curso
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Resultados de carreira do aprendiz
14%
comecei uma nova carreira após concluir estes cursos
29%
consegui um benefício significativo de carreira com este curso
17%
recebi um aumento ou promoção
Certificados compartilháveis
Tenha o certificado após a conclusão
100% on-line
Comece imediatamente e aprenda em seu próprio cronograma.
Prazos flexíveis
Redefinir os prazos de acordo com sua programação.
Nível iniciante
Aprox. 13 horas para completar
Inglês
Legendas: Inglês, Ucraniano
Habilidades que você terá
Sunk CostsCost–Benefit AnalysisCognitive BiasDecision-MakingData AnalysisStatistical Inference
Resultados de carreira do aprendiz
14%
comecei uma nova carreira após concluir estes cursos
29%
consegui um benefício significativo de carreira com este curso
17%
recebi um aumento ou promoção
Certificados compartilháveis
Tenha o certificado após a conclusão
100% on-line
Comece imediatamente e aprenda em seu próprio cronograma.
Prazos flexíveis
Redefinir os prazos de acordo com sua programação.
Nível iniciante
Aprox. 13 horas para completar
Inglês
Legendas: Inglês, Ucraniano
oferecido por
Universidade de Michigan
The mission of the University of Michigan is to serve the people of Michigan and the world through preeminence in creating, communicating, preserving and applying knowledge, art, and academic values, and in developing leaders and citizens who will challenge the present and enrich the future.
Programa - O que você aprenderá com este curso
1 hora para concluir
Introduction
Individuals and cultures can make themselves smarter. Since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, people have become enormously smarter. The Information Age requires a brand-new set of skills involving statistics, probability, cost-benefit analysis, principles of cognitive psychology, logic and dialectical reasoning.
1 hora para concluir
1 vídeo (Total 15 mín.), 3 leituras
1 vídeos
Course Introduction15min
3 leituras
Welcome Message and Course Principles from Professor Nisbett10min
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
Help us learn more about you!10min
1 hora para concluir
Lesson 1: Statistics
Basic concepts of statistics and probability including the concepts of variable, normal distribution, standard deviation, correlation, reliability, validity, and effect size. Concrete examples are drawn from everyday life and show how the concepts can be used to solve ordinary problems.
1 hora para concluir
2 vídeos (Total 29 mín.), 2 leituras, 1 teste
2 leituras
Interactive Activity10min
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
1 exercício prático
Lesson 1 Quiz30min
2 horas para concluir
Lesson 2: The Law of Large Numbers
How to think about events in such a way that they can be counted and a decision can be made about how much data is enough. You will learn about the concept of error variance and how it can be combatted by obtaining multiple observations. Your will learn that your judgments about people’s personalities are prone to serious errors that are largely avoided for judgments about abilities. And you will discover why it’s usually a mistake to interview job applicants.
2 horas para concluir
2 vídeos (Total 27 mín.), 2 leituras, 4 testes
2 leituras
Interactive Activity10min
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
4 exercícios práticos
Pre-lecture Reflection Prompt5min
Pre-lecture Quiz5min
Lesson 2 Quiz30min
Post-lecture Reflection Prompt5min
2 horas para concluir
Lesson 3: Correlation
It can be extremely difficult to make an accurate assessment of how two variables are related to one another; prior beliefs can be more important than data in estimating the strength of a given relationship. You will learn simple tools to estimate degree of association. You will learn about the nature of illusory correlations and how to avoid them. You will learn about the concepts of confounded variable and self-selection error.
2 horas para concluir
4 vídeos (Total 25 mín.), 3 leituras, 2 testes
4 videos
Correlations3min
The Draw-a-Person Test4min
Illusory Correlation6min
Confounded Variables; Statistical Significance9min
3 leituras
Pre-lecture Activity10min
Interactive Activity10min
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
2 exercícios práticos
Correlation Exercises30min
Lesson 3 Quiz30min
2 horas para concluir
Lesson 4: Experiments
You will learn that correlations can only rarely provide conclusive evidence about whether one variable exerts a causal influence on another and why experiments provide far better evidence about causality than correlations. You will be shown how to conduct experiments in business settings and experiments on yourself. You will learn the distinction between within subject designs and between subject designs. You will learn about the concept of artifacts and some tricks for avoiding them. You will learn how to discover natural experiments.
2 horas para concluir
3 vídeos (Total 42 mín.), 2 leituras, 1 teste
3 videos
A/B Testing9min
Experimental Design and Natural Experiments17min
2 leituras
Pre-lecture Activity5min
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
1 exercício prático
Lesson 4 Quiz30min
1 hora para concluir
Lesson 5: Prediction
You will learn about the kinds of systematic errors we make when trying to predict the future. You will learn about regression to the mean and why you should assume that extreme values on a variable will be less extreme when next observed. You will learn how to think about observations in terms of true score plus error. You will learn about the concept of base rate and why it must be taken into account when estimating probabilities of specific events.
1 hora para concluir
2 vídeos (Total 40 mín.), 2 leituras, 1 teste
2 leituras
Pre-lecture Question5min
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
1 exercício prático
Lesson 5 Quiz30min
1 hora para concluir
Lesson 6: Cognitive Biases
We understand the world not through direct perception but through inferential procedures that we are unaware of. Our understanding of the world is heavily influenced by schemas or abstract representations of events. We are prone to serious judgment errors that can be avoided to a degree when we understand their basis. We make guesses about probability and causality by applying the representativeness heuristic based on similarity assessments which can be very misleading. We make judgments about frequency and probability by relying in part on the availability heuristic, judging things as frequent or probable to the degree that instances come readily to mind.
1 hora para concluir
3 vídeos (Total 36 mín.), 1 leitura, 2 testes
3 videos
Heuristics11min
Fundamental Attribution Error; Confirmation Bias11min
1 leituras
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
2 exercícios práticos
Pre-lecture Quiz5min
Lesson 6 Quiz30min
1 hora para concluir
Lesson 7: Choosing and Deciding
How to conduct a cost-benefit analysis. Why you should throw the analysis away after doing it if the decision is personal and very important. How to avoid throwing good money after bad. How to avoid doing something that will prevent you from doing something more valuable. Why it can be expensive to try to avoid the possibility of loss. Why incentives can backfire.
1 hora para concluir
3 vídeos (Total 38 mín.), 1 leitura, 2 testes
1 leituras
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
2 exercícios práticos
Pre-lecture Activity5min
Lesson 7 Quiz30min
2 horas para concluir
Lesson 8: Logic and Dialectical Reasoning
The distinction between inductive logic and deductive logic. Syllogisms. Conditional reasoning. The distinction between truth of an argument and validity of an argument. The concepts of necessity and sufficiency. Venn diagrams. Common logical errors. When to avoid contradiction and when to embrace it, how to avoid undue certainty about judgments and decisions, and why attention to context rather than form is crucial for analysis of most real-world problems.
2 horas para concluir
2 vídeos (Total 36 mín.), 1 leitura, 2 testes
1 leituras
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
2 exercícios práticos
Pre-lecture Quiz30min
Lesson 8 Quiz30min
16 minutos para concluir
Conclusion
16 minutos para concluir
1 vídeo (Total 6 mín.), 2 leituras
1 vídeos
2 leituras
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
Post-course Survey10min
Perguntas Frequentes – FAQ
Quando terei acesso às palestras e às tarefas?
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O que recebo ao adquirir o Certificado?
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Você poderá pedir reembolso total até duas semanas após a data do pagamento, ou (para cursos recém-iniciados) até duas semanas após o início da primeira sessão do curso, o que ocorrer por último. Você não poderá receber reembolso após obter o Certificado de Curso, mesmo que tenha completado o curso dentro do período de duas semanas. Veja nossa política para o reembolso total.
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