Informações sobre o curso
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Nível iniciante

Aprox. 12 horas para completar

Sugerido: 4 weeks of study; 3-4 hours/week...

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Legendas: Inglês, Ucraniano

Habilidades que você terá

Sunk CostsCost–Benefit AnalysisCognitive BiasDecision-MakingData AnalysisStatistical Inference

100% online

Comece imediatamente e aprenda em seu próprio cronograma.

Prazos flexíveis

Redefinir os prazos de acordo com sua programação.

Nível iniciante

Aprox. 12 horas para completar

Sugerido: 4 weeks of study; 3-4 hours/week...

Inglês

Legendas: Inglês, Ucraniano

Programa - O que você aprenderá com este curso

Semana
1
1 hora para concluir

Introduction

Individuals and cultures can make themselves smarter. Since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, people have become enormously smarter. The Information Age requires a brand-new set of skills involving statistics, probability, cost-benefit analysis, principles of cognitive psychology, logic and dialectical reasoning.

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1 vídeo ((Total 15 mín.)), 3 leituras
1 vídeos
3 leituras
Welcome Message and Course Principles from Professor Nisbett10min
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
Help us learn more about you!10min
1 hora para concluir

Lesson 1: Statistics

Basic concepts of statistics and probability including the concepts of variable, normal distribution, standard deviation, correlation, reliability, validity, and effect size. Concrete examples are drawn from everyday life and show how the concepts can be used to solve ordinary problems.

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2 vídeos ((Total 29 mín.)), 2 leituras, 1 teste
2 videos
Introduction to Correlation16min
2 leituras
Interactive Activity10min
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
1 exercício prático
Lesson 1 Quiz18min
1 hora para concluir

Lesson 2: The Law of Large Numbers

How to think about events in such a way that they can be counted and a decision can be made about how much data is enough. You will learn about the concept of error variance and how it can be combatted by obtaining multiple observations. Your will learn that your judgments about people’s personalities are prone to serious errors that are largely avoided for judgments about abilities. And you will discover why it’s usually a mistake to interview job applicants.

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2 vídeos ((Total 27 mín.)), 2 leituras, 4 testes
2 videos
The Law of Large Numbers: Part 215min
2 leituras
Interactive Activity10min
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
4 exercícios práticos
Pre-lecture Reflection Prompt5min
Pre-lecture Quiz5min
Lesson 2 Quiz12min
Post-lecture Reflection Prompt5min
Semana
2
1 hora para concluir

Lesson 3: Correlation

It can be extremely difficult to make an accurate assessment of how two variables are related to one another; prior beliefs can be more important than data in estimating the strength of a given relationship. You will learn simple tools to estimate degree of association. You will learn about the nature of illusory correlations and how to avoid them. You will learn about the concepts of confounded variable and self-selection error.

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4 vídeos ((Total 25 mín.)), 3 leituras, 2 testes
4 videos
The Draw-a-Person Test4min
Illusory Correlation6min
Confounded Variables; Statistical Significance9min
3 leituras
Pre-lecture Activity10min
Interactive Activity10min
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
2 exercícios práticos
Correlation Exercises10min
Lesson 3 Quiz10min
2 horas para concluir

Lesson 4: Experiments

You will learn that correlations can only rarely provide conclusive evidence about whether one variable exerts a causal influence on another and why experiments provide far better evidence about causality than correlations. You will be shown how to conduct experiments in business settings and experiments on yourself. You will learn the distinction between within subject designs and between subject designs. You will learn about the concept of artifacts and some tricks for avoiding them. You will learn how to discover natural experiments.

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3 vídeos ((Total 42 mín.)), 2 leituras, 1 teste
3 videos
A/B Testing9min
Experimental Design and Natural Experiments17min
2 leituras
Pre-lecture Activity5min
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
1 exercício prático
Lesson 4 Quiz26min
Semana
3
1 hora para concluir

Lesson 5: Prediction

You will learn about the kinds of systematic errors we make when trying to predict the future. You will learn about regression to the mean and why you should assume that extreme values on a variable will be less extreme when next observed. You will learn how to think about observations in terms of true score plus error. You will learn about the concept of base rate and why it must be taken into account when estimating probabilities of specific events.

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2 vídeos ((Total 40 mín.)), 2 leituras, 1 teste
2 videos
Base Rate22min
2 leituras
Pre-lecture Question5min
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
1 exercício prático
Lesson 5 Quiz8min
1 hora para concluir

Lesson 6: Cognitive Biases

We understand the world not through direct perception but through inferential procedures that we are unaware of. Our understanding of the world is heavily influenced by schemas or abstract representations of events. We are prone to serious judgment errors that can be avoided to a degree when we understand their basis. We make guesses about probability and causality by applying the representativeness heuristic based on similarity assessments which can be very misleading. We make judgments about frequency and probability by relying in part on the availability heuristic, judging things as frequent or probable to the degree that instances come readily to mind.

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3 vídeos ((Total 36 mín.)), 1 leitura, 2 testes
3 videos
Heuristics11min
Fundamental Attribution Error; Confirmation Bias11min
1 leituras
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
2 exercícios práticos
Pre-lecture Quiz5min
Lesson 6 Quiz22min
Semana
4
1 hora para concluir

Lesson 7: Choosing and Deciding

How to conduct a cost-benefit analysis. Why you should throw the analysis away after doing it if the decision is personal and very important. How to avoid throwing good money after bad. How to avoid doing something that will prevent you from doing something more valuable. Why it can be expensive to try to avoid the possibility of loss. Why incentives can backfire.

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3 vídeos ((Total 38 mín.)), 1 leitura, 2 testes
3 videos
Sunk Costs10min
Loss Aversion12min
1 leituras
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
2 exercícios práticos
Pre-lecture Activity5min
Lesson 7 Quiz14min
1 hora para concluir

Lesson 8: Logic and Dialectical Reasoning

The distinction between inductive logic and deductive logic. Syllogisms. Conditional reasoning. The distinction between truth of an argument and validity of an argument. The concepts of necessity and sufficiency. Venn diagrams. Common logical errors. When to avoid contradiction and when to embrace it, how to avoid undue certainty about judgments and decisions, and why attention to context rather than form is crucial for analysis of most real-world problems.

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2 vídeos ((Total 36 mín.)), 1 leitura, 2 testes
2 videos
Dialectical Reasoning16min
1 leituras
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
2 exercícios práticos
Pre-lecture Quiz8min
Lesson 8 Quiz20min
16 minutos para concluir

Conclusion

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1 vídeo ((Total 6 mín.)), 2 leituras
1 vídeos
2 leituras
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
Post-course Survey10min
4.7
82 avaliaçõesChevron Right

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Melhores avaliações

por NPAug 7th 2017

A very good course prof Richard has explained very difficult to understand concepts in a very simple language and made it easy for students to grasp the subject matter easily.

por PDec 24th 2018

Excellent introduction to basic tools (awareness of some cognitive biases / heuristics, the importance of contextual factors, etc.) for sharpening our minds: It´s a must! :-)

Instrutores

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Richard E. Nisbett

Theodore M. Newcomb Distinguished University Professor
Department of Psychology

Sobre Universidade de Michigan

The mission of the University of Michigan is to serve the people of Michigan and the world through preeminence in creating, communicating, preserving and applying knowledge, art, and academic values, and in developing leaders and citizens who will challenge the present and enrich the future....

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