Diversification Revisited

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Financial Markets and Investment Strategy Capstone

8 classificações

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Indian School of Business

Financial Markets and Investment Strategy Capstone

8 classificações

Curso 5 de 5 em Specialization Financial Markets and Investment Strategy

In the Capstone project, you have to design an investment plan for an individual at three different stages of his life. Depending on the stage of his life the individuals biases, risk preferences and wealth requirements change. You have to keep in mind all of these and design an appropriate investment plan for each stage of his life. You will use the concepts learned in the 4 courses to achieve this target. You should consider different assets and different markets to achieve the investors goals by building an optimal portfolio which matches his profile. In the end you should also evaluate the performance of his portfolio.

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Week 4

This module introduces you to the world of mutual funds. After completing this module you will be able to analyse and compare mutual funds.

Diversification Revisited4:57

Investment opportunity set with 2 risky assets and risk free asset6:54

Investment opportunity set with 3 risky assets and risk free asset6:01

The optimal allocation between risky and risk free asset3:23

Conheça os instrutores

Ramabhadran Thirumalai
Assistant Professor
Indian School of Business

Learning outcomes.

After watching this video, you will be able to explain why we cannot diversify

away all risk, explain the difference between idiosyncratic and systematic risk.

Diversification revisited, we earlier saw that having risky assets that are not

perfectly positively correlated helps us reduce or diversify risk.

Does that mean that we can endlessly reduce risk

by simply adding more risky assets to our portfolio?

This is going to be the focus of this video.

Continuing with our portfolio with three risky assets, we can

move the efficient frontier to the left by adding more risky assets to our portfolio.

Will the efficient frontier eventually touch the vertical axis

as we keep adding additional risky assets to our portfolio?

That is can we completely diversify away our risk?

In other words, can we make it zero?

In general, the answer is no.

We can prove this in a couple of steps.

The variance of a portfolio with n assets is sigma squared sub b,

which equals the summation of i equal to one to n,

wi squared, sigma i squared, plus the summation of

i equal to one to n, and the summation j equal to one to n,

i not being equal to j, w i times w j times sigma i j.

Where w i is the weight of asset i in the portfolio,

sigma i squared is the variance of its returns, and

sigma i j is the covariance between asset i and asset j returns.

Now let's assume that the weight of each asset in the portfolio is the same,

which means that each wi is equal to one over n.

Let's further assume that all assets have the same variance v, and

each pair of assets has the same covariance c.

This simplifies the expression of the portfolio of

variance to n times one over n squared times v plus n

times n minus one times one over n squared times c.

This can further be reduced to v over n plus n minus 1 over n times c.

As n goes to infinity, a really large number,

the first term becomes zero, and the second one simply becomes c.

This tells us two things about large well diversified portfolio of assets.

One, only co-variances matter and not so much the variances.

Two, if the covariance is not zero, all risk cannot be diversified away.

That is we cannot make risk zero

even if you add a large number of assets to our portfolio.

This risk that cannot be diversified away is called systematic or

non-diversifiable risk.

The part that can be diversified away is called idiosyncratic or

diversifiable risk.

As you can see in the figure now,

increasing the number of stocks in the portfolio reduces its variance.

The blue curve represents the total variance,

while the horizontal black line represents the systematic risk.

The gap between the blue curve and the black line is the idiosyncratic or

diversifiable risk.

As you can see, the diversifiable risk drops pretty quickly

as the number of stocks and the portfolio increases, but beyond 50 to 60 stocks,

one cannot achieving the additional diversification.

At this point, the idiosyncratic risk is close to zero.

Diversification is a kin to the old saying,

don't put all your eggs in one basket.

If you drop the basket, all the eggs break.

Here diversification says, don't put all your money in one asset.

If that asset performs poorly, you will loose all your wealth.

Spread your wealth across various assets.

The less than perfect positive correlation between these assets

will help reduce your risk.

So far,

we have looked at investment opportunity sets that involve only risky assets.

What happens to the investment opportunity set if we introduce a risk-free asset?

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